A weather-drive bio-economic optimization model for agricultural planning

Document
Abstract

This thesis introduces a weather-driven bio-economic optimization model for agricultural planning and decision-making. The model integrates weather simulations—including precipitation, temperature, relative humidity, and reference evapotranspiration (ETo)—to estimate crop yields using the AquaCrop simulator. These yield estimates are then incorporated into a multi-objective optimization (MOO) model that aims to maximize gross profit and economic water productivity (ET), while minimizing land use. The MOO model's results provide insights into key agricultural planning questions, such as what, where, when, and how much to plant.The findings demonstrate the model's potential to enhance agricultural decision-making by offering optimized crop combinations that improve both economic returns and land use efficiency. This research contributes to the development of a dynamic agricultural planning model by integrating weather forecasting, crop simulation, and multi-objective optimization.

Author Keywords: AquaCrop, Artificial neural network, Markov chains, Multi-objective optimization, Reference evapotranspiration, Stochastic differential equation

    Item Description
    Type
    Contributors
    Creator (cre): Bernard, Bunnel
    Thesis advisor (ths): Abdella, Kenzu
    Thesis advisor (ths): Narine, Suresh
    Degree committee member (dgc): Bouzidi, Laziz
    Degree granting institution (dgg): Trent University
    Date Issued
    2024
    Date (Unspecified)
    2024
    Place Published
    Peterborough, ON
    Language
    Extent
    228 pages
    Rights
    Copyright is held by the author, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise noted.
    Subject (Topical)
    Local Identifier
    TC-OPET-11234
    Publisher
    Trent University
    Degree